MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Brooks Raley
Brooks Raley
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves. Brooks Raley’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Brooks Raley wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Brooks Raley
90.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.4%
Brooks Raley
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.4%
Brooks Raley
25.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
31.2%
Brooks Raley
30.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
41.7%
Brooks Raley
33.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
4.7%
Brooks Raley
5.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.313
Brooks Raley
.299
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
24.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
3.95
Brooks Raley
24.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.61
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.171.42
now 1.28
1.35
Brooks Raley
1.171.42
now 1.25
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4047.80
now 17
39
Brooks Raley
4047.80
now 26
27
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.20
now 1
14
Brooks Raley
.0005.20
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
14
Brooks Raley
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeBrooks Raley — hold.conf 0.50
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