MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Tim Mayza
Tim Mayza
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves. Tim Mayza’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Tim Mayza wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Tim Mayza
95.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.4%
Tim Mayza
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.4%
Tim Mayza
25.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
31.2%
Tim Mayza
30.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
41.7%
Tim Mayza
43.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
4.7%
Tim Mayza
6.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.313
Tim Mayza
.276
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
3.404.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
3.95
Tim Mayza
3.404.24
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.62
3.66
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
.9001.49
now 1.28
1.35
Tim Mayza
.9001.49
now 0.99
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4047.80
now 17
39
Tim Mayza
4047.80
now 26
23
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.20
now 1
14
Tim Mayza
.0005.20
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
14
Tim Mayza
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeTim Mayza — hold.conf 0.50
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