MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 14, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Jimmy Herget
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Jimmy Herget wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Jimmy Herget
92.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.2%
Jimmy Herget
14.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.0%
Jimmy Herget
24.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.6%
Jimmy Herget
31.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.0%
Jimmy Herget
39.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.2%
Jimmy Herget
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.321
Jimmy Herget
.282
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
3.165.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.09
Jimmy Herget
3.165.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.06
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.171.45
now 1.28
1.36
Jimmy Herget
1.171.45
now 1.38
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4046.40
now 17
38
Jimmy Herget
4046.40
now 17
22
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.20
now 1
13
Jimmy Herget
.0004.20
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.40
now 1
14
Jimmy Herget
.0005.40
now 1
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeJimmy Herget — hold.conf 0.50
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