Who's more valuable, rest of season
Andrew Alvarez.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves. Keaton Winn’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
◀
W
◀
SV
Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Keaton Winn wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Keaton Winn
96.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.2%
Keaton Winn
11.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.0%
Keaton Winn
20.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.6%
Keaton Winn
29.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.0%
Keaton Winn
27.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.2%
Keaton Winn
4.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.321
Keaton Winn
.289
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
24.75
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.09
Keaton Winn
24.75
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
.9001.54
now 1.28
1.36
Keaton Winn
.9001.54
now 0.90
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4046.40
now 17
38
Keaton Winn
4046.40
now 22
20
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.2003.80
now 1
1–3
Keaton Winn
.2003.80
now 1
1–1
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
1–4
Keaton Winn
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeKeaton Winn — hold.conf 0.50