MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Robby Ahlstrom
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Robby Ahlstrom wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Robby Ahlstrom
94.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.2%
Robby Ahlstrom
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.0%
Robby Ahlstrom
15.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.6%
Robby Ahlstrom
28.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.0%
Robby Ahlstrom
33.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.2%
Robby Ahlstrom
3.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.321
Robby Ahlstrom
.322
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
25.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.12
Robby Ahlstrom
25.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
.9001.90
now 1.28
1.36
Robby Ahlstrom
.9001.90
now 0.00
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4046.80
now 17
34
Robby Ahlstrom
4046.80
now 2
30
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.20
now 1
13
Robby Ahlstrom
.0004.20
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
14
Robby Ahlstrom
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeRobby Ahlstrom — hold.conf 0.55
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