MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Seth Johnson
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Seth Johnson wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Seth Johnson
97.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.0%
Seth Johnson
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
23.6%
Seth Johnson
26.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.9%
Seth Johnson
22.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
44.4%
Seth Johnson
38.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
6.0%
Seth Johnson
9.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.329
Seth Johnson
.312
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
2.866.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.29
Seth Johnson
2.866.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.79
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.051.90
now 1.28
1.39
Seth Johnson
1.051.90
now 1.71
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4042.40
now 17
32
Seth Johnson
4042.40
now 6
20
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.20
now 1
13
Seth Johnson
.0004.20
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.40
now 1
13
Seth Johnson
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAndrew Alvarez — sell.conf 0.70
Buy LowSeth Johnson — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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