MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Trevor Richards
Trevor Richards
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Andrew Alvarez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Andrew Alvarez wins 3 categories (K, W, SV); Trevor Richards wins 2 (ERA, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Trevor Richards
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.0%
Trevor Richards
10.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
23.6%
Trevor Richards
23.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.9%
Trevor Richards
28.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
44.4%
Trevor Richards
41.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
6.0%
Trevor Richards
8.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.329
Trevor Richards
.300
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
2.936.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.28
Trevor Richards
2.936.40
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
1.111.47
now 1.28
1.39
Trevor Richards
1.111.47
now 1.19
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4042
now 17
34
Trevor Richards
4042
now 14
19
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0004.20
now 1
13
Trevor Richards
.0004.20
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.0005.60
now 1
14
Trevor Richards
.0005.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAndrew Alvarez — sell.conf 0.70
Hold · wait & seeTrevor Richards — hold.conf 0.50
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