Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryEthan
34K ←28
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryEthan
12K12
7.59ERA →1.69
1.69WHIP →1.00
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Kittredge
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.15 sits 0.95 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Ethan Roberts
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.19 is 2.33 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Kittredge: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Ethan Roberts: 28 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).