Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryTim
34K ←31
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryTim
12K →16
7.59ERA →3.32
1.69WHIP →1.63
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Kittredge
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.15 sits 0.95 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Tim Herrin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.246 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.52 is 0.52 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Kittredge: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Tim Herrin: 31 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).