Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryYuki
34K →36
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryYuki
12K →15
7.59ERA →0.60
1.69WHIP →0.87
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Kittredge
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.15 sits 0.95 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Yuki Matsui
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.167 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.70 is 1.87 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Kittredge: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Yuki Matsui: 36 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).