MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Seth Johnson
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Yuki Matsui
Yuki Matsui
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Seth Johnson wins 0 (none); Yuki Matsui wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Seth Johnson
97.9
Yuki Matsui
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Seth Johnson
13.4%
Yuki Matsui
18.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Seth Johnson
26.3%
Yuki Matsui
26.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Seth Johnson
22.6%
Yuki Matsui
31.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Seth Johnson
38.1%
Yuki Matsui
30.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Seth Johnson
9.5%
Yuki Matsui
9.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Seth Johnson
.312
Yuki Matsui
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Seth Johnson
27.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.79
3.70
Yuki Matsui
27.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.60
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Seth Johnson
.9002.05
now 1.71
1.24
Yuki Matsui
.9002.05
now 0.87
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Seth Johnson
4025.60
now 6
20
Yuki Matsui
4025.60
now 15
20
Winshigher is better
Seth Johnson
.000.480
now 0
00
Yuki Matsui
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowSeth Johnson — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Sell HighYuki Matsui — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.94
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