MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Brad Lord
Brad Lord
WSH · P
Change to
Seth Johnson
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Brad Lord wins 2 (K, W); Seth Johnson wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Brad Lord
94.5
Seth Johnson
97.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
10.3%
Seth Johnson
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Brad Lord
21.0%
Seth Johnson
26.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Brad Lord
31.1%
Seth Johnson
22.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
40.8%
Seth Johnson
38.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Brad Lord
5.9%
Seth Johnson
9.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Brad Lord
.316
Seth Johnson
.312
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Brad Lord
27.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.68
4.01
Seth Johnson
27.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.79
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Brad Lord
.9001.99
now 1.00
1.31
Seth Johnson
.9001.99
now 1.71
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Brad Lord
4041
now 31
21
Seth Johnson
4041
now 6
20
Winshigher is better
Brad Lord
.0004.20
now 3
13
Seth Johnson
.0004.20
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyBrad Lord — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowSeth Johnson — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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