MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 8, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Nardi
Andrew Nardi
MIA · P
Change to
Elvis Alvarado
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Elvis Alvarado.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and wins. Andrew Nardi’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Elvis Alvarado wins 2 categories (ERA, W); Andrew Nardi wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
94.6
Elvis Alvarado
98.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
14.6%
Elvis Alvarado
16.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
27.3%
Elvis Alvarado
29.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Nardi
29.5%
Elvis Alvarado
32.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Nardi
45.0%
Elvis Alvarado
50.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Nardi
13.3%
Elvis Alvarado
18.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Nardi
.349
Elvis Alvarado
.325
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Nardi
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.16
3.74
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Nardi
.9902.11
now 1.41
1.24
Elvis Alvarado
.9902.11
now 1.86
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Nardi
4039.80
now 27
31
Elvis Alvarado
4039.80
now 9
18
Winshigher is better
Andrew Nardi
.4007.60
now 3
25
Elvis Alvarado
.4007.60
now 2
26

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAndrew Nardi — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeElvis Alvarado — hold.conf 0.50
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