MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 23, 2026
David Morgan
SD · P
Change to
Elvis Alvarado
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

David Morgan wins 1 (K); Elvis Alvarado wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
David Morgan
97.3
Elvis Alvarado
98.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
David Morgan
16.0%
Elvis Alvarado
17.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
David Morgan
25.0%
Elvis Alvarado
32.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
David Morgan
35.3%
Elvis Alvarado
31.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
David Morgan
31.5%
Elvis Alvarado
52.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
David Morgan
1.9%
Elvis Alvarado
17.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
David Morgan
.292
Elvis Alvarado
.307
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
David Morgan
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.28
3.70
Elvis Alvarado
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.38
3.70
WHIPlower is better
David Morgan
.9802.15
now 1.89
1.24
Elvis Alvarado
.9802.15
now 1.86
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
David Morgan
4042.60
now 17
33
Elvis Alvarado
4042.60
now 9
21
Winshigher is better
David Morgan
.00010.40
now 2
26
Elvis Alvarado
.00010.40
now 2
38

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDavid Morgan — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeElvis Alvarado — hold.conf 0.50
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