Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryCam
72K →114
4.57ERA →2.75
1.39WHIP →1.05
1–2W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryCam
43K →81
5.74ERA →1.50
1.52WHIP →0.85
1W →7
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Painter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.341 elevated and unstable — the 6.21 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraSIGNALbut luck-free xERA 4.83 is +0.73 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Cam Schlittler
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Andrew Painter: 74 K / 4.57 ERA. Cam Schlittler: 117 K / 2.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).