Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryJack
81K ←72
4.50ERA ←4.80
1.38WHIP ←1.51
1–3W →2–5
0SV0
Current Season
AndrewCategoryJack
43K →46
5.74ERA →5.23
1.52WHIP →1.48
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Painter
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.337 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jack Kochanowicz
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.18 +1.08 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Andrew Painter: 81 K / 4.50 ERA. Jack Kochanowicz: 72 K / 4.80 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).