MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 4, 2026
Engraved portrait of Chris Paddack
Chris Paddack
CIN·P
Buy Low high·0.90
Change to
Engraved portrait of Jack Kochanowicz
Jack Kochanowicz
LAA·P
Sell high·0.87
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

ChrisCategoryJack
84K 72
4.54ERA 4.80
1.43WHIP 1.51
0–0W 2–5
0SV0

Current Season

ChrisCategoryJack
35K 46
6.90ERA 5.23
1.71WHIP 1.48
0W 2
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Chris Paddack
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.353 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jack Kochanowicz
  • xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.18 +1.08 vs league with no luck excuse
  • p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling

Chris Paddack: 84 K / 4.54 ERA. Jack Kochanowicz: 72 K / 4.80 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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