MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 4, 2026
Engraved portrait of Chris Paddack
Chris Paddack
CIN·P
Buy Low high·0.90
Change to
Engraved portrait of Erick Fedde
Erick Fedde
CWS·P
Sell med·0.70
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

ChrisCategoryErick
84K 70
4.54ERA 4.42
1.43WHIP 1.45
0–0W0–0
0SV0

Current Season

ChrisCategoryErick
35K 34
6.90ERA 5.40
1.71WHIP 1.48
0W0
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Chris Paddack
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.353 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Erick Fedde
  • xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.59 +0.49 vs league with no luck excuse
  • p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling

Chris Paddack: 84 K / 4.54 ERA. Erick Fedde: 70 K / 4.42 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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