Rest of Season Projection
BrayanCategoryChris
81K →84
5.32ERA →4.54
1.44WHIP →1.43
2–5W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
BrayanCategoryChris
40K ←35
5.63ERA ←6.90
1.64WHIP ←1.71
2W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brayan Bello
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.97 +1.87 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Chris Paddack
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.353 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Bello trails in ERA (5.32 vs 4.54) and WHIP (1.44 vs 1.43) while Paddack projects for more K (84 to 81). The surface stats and verdicts align: sell Bello, buy Paddack.