MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Painter
Andrew Painter
PHI · P
Change to
Quinn Mathews
STL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Quinn Mathews.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Andrew Painter’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Quinn Mathews wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Andrew Painter wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Painter
96.5
Quinn Mathews
93.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
12.1%
Quinn Mathews
11.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
20.1%
Quinn Mathews
20.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Painter
34.4%
Quinn Mathews
26.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Painter
35.7%
Quinn Mathews
36.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Painter
8.5%
Quinn Mathews
2.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Painter
.327
Quinn Mathews
.291
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Painter
2.746.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.74
4.38
Quinn Mathews
2.746.60
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.60
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Painter
1.102
now 1.52
1.37
Quinn Mathews
1.102
now 1.80
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Painter
4059
now 43
9
Quinn Mathews
4059
now 3
6
Winshigher is better
Andrew Painter
.0001.48
now 1
00
Quinn Mathews
.0001.48
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellAndrew Painter — sell.conf 0.68
Buy LowQuinn Mathews — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.78
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