Rest of Season Projection
AndyCategoryJackson
14HR ←12
54R ←36
74RBI ←31
10SB →14
.263AVG ←.251
Current Season
AndyCategoryJackson
13HR ←2
36R ←13
50RBI ←11
7SB ←5
.293AVG ←.276
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andy Pages
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.347, +0.032 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jackson Chourio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.403 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.349 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Andy Pages: 14 HR / 54 R. Jackson Chourio: 12 HR / 36 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).