Rest of Season Projection
AnthonyCategoryMatt
72K ←67
5.26ERA →4.09
1.42WHIP →1.30
5–11W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
AnthonyCategoryMatt
42K ←22
3.77ERA ←8.49
1.40WHIP ←1.71
5W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Anthony Kay
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.88 +1.78 vs league with no luck excuse
Matt Waldron
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.78 sits 0.32 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.384 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Anthony Kay: 74 K / 5.25 ERA. Matt Waldron: 68 K / 4.09 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).