MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Antonio Senzatela
Antonio Senzatela
COL · P
Change to
Portrait of Bryan Abreu
Bryan Abreu
HOU · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Bryan Abreu.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves. Antonio Senzatela’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Bryan Abreu wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Antonio Senzatela wins 2 (ERA, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
97.3
Bryan Abreu
95.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
12.5%
Bryan Abreu
12.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
21.3%
Bryan Abreu
28.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
31.1%
Bryan Abreu
25.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Antonio Senzatela
40.4%
Bryan Abreu
48.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Antonio Senzatela
6.2%
Bryan Abreu
7.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Antonio Senzatela
.290
Bryan Abreu
.341
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Antonio Senzatela
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.30
3.49
Bryan Abreu
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.87
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Antonio Senzatela
.9002.47
now 0.89
1.31
Bryan Abreu
.9002.47
now 2.02
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Antonio Senzatela
4031.60
now 26
18
Bryan Abreu
4031.60
now 23
25
Winshigher is better
Antonio Senzatela
.0008
now 5
36
Bryan Abreu
.0008
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
Antonio Senzatela
.6005.40
now 3
23
Bryan Abreu
.6005.40
now 3
24
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAntonio Senzatela — buy.conf 0.78
Hold · wait & seeBryan Abreu — hold.conf 0.50
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