MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Bryan Abreu
Bryan Abreu
HOU · P
Change to
Chase Dollander
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Bryan Abreu.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and saves. Chase Dollander’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Bryan Abreu wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, SV); Chase Dollander wins 2 (K, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
95.2
Chase Dollander
98.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
12.9%
Chase Dollander
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
28.6%
Chase Dollander
24.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
25.9%
Chase Dollander
27.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
47.6%
Chase Dollander
52.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
7.1%
Chase Dollander
9.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
.336
Chase Dollander
.307
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryan Abreu
2.438.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.87
3.70
Chase Dollander
2.438.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.89
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Bryan Abreu
.9302.33
now 2.02
1.24
Chase Dollander
.9302.33
now 1.30
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
4057
now 23
22
Chase Dollander
4057
now 47
38
Winshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
.0005.20
now 2
13
Chase Dollander
.0005.20
now 3
14
Saveshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
.0004.40
now 3
23
Chase Dollander
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBryan Abreu — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeChase Dollander — hold.conf 0.50
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