MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Antonio Senzatela
Antonio Senzatela
COL · P
Change to
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Caleb Kilian.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves. Antonio Senzatela’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Caleb Kilian wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Antonio Senzatela wins 2 (ERA, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
97.3
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
12.4%
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
20.8%
Caleb Kilian
28.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
31.0%
Caleb Kilian
31.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Antonio Senzatela
39.9%
Caleb Kilian
35.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Antonio Senzatela
5.6%
Caleb Kilian
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Antonio Senzatela
.291
Caleb Kilian
.290
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Antonio Senzatela
24.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.30
3.48
Caleb Kilian
24.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Antonio Senzatela
.9001.49
now 0.89
1.32
Caleb Kilian
.9001.49
now 1.15
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Antonio Senzatela
4034.60
now 26
18
Caleb Kilian
4034.60
now 29
21
Winshigher is better
Antonio Senzatela
.0008
now 5
36
Caleb Kilian
.0008
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Antonio Senzatela
.6004.40
now 3
23
Caleb Kilian
.6004.40
now 3
23
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAntonio Senzatela — buy.conf 0.79
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Kilian — hold.conf 0.50
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