Rest of Season Projection
AntonioCategoryJack
34K →53
3.63ERA ←3.66
1.25WHIP →1.24
5–11W ←2–5
3–6SV4–7
Current Season
AntonioCategoryJack
26K →33
1.30ERA ←5.46
0.89WHIP ←1.21
5W ←2
3SV3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Antonio Senzatela
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.209 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.16 is 1.86 above the ERA — regression coming
Jack Perkins
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.333 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Antonio Senzatela: 34 K / 3.63 ERA. Jack Perkins: 53 K / 3.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).