MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Aroldis Chapman
Aroldis Chapman
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of Luke Weaver
Luke Weaver
PIT · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Aroldis Chapman wins 1 (ERA); Luke Weaver wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
96.9
Luke Weaver
95.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
15.8%
Luke Weaver
16.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
33.3%
Luke Weaver
27.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
33.1%
Luke Weaver
34.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
38.1%
Luke Weaver
34.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
6.8%
Luke Weaver
7.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
.252
Luke Weaver
.272
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
24.12
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.48
2.64
Luke Weaver
24.12
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.77
3.08
WHIPlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
.9001.41
now 0.86
1.25
Luke Weaver
.9001.41
now 1.04
1.17

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
4035
now 25
0
Luke Weaver
4035
now 25
0
Winshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
.0002.80
now 0
0–0
Luke Weaver
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAroldis Chapman — buy.conf 0.92
Sell HighLuke Weaver — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.79
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