MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Aroldis Chapman
Aroldis Chapman
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of Rico Garcia
Rico Garcia
BAL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Aroldis Chapman wins 1 (ERA); Rico Garcia wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
96.9
Rico Garcia
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
15.8%
Rico Garcia
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
33.3%
Rico Garcia
25.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aroldis Chapman
33.1%
Rico Garcia
29.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
38.1%
Rico Garcia
34.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
6.8%
Rico Garcia
5.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aroldis Chapman
.252
Rico Garcia
.265
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
23.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.48
2.64
Rico Garcia
23.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.71
2.92
WHIPlower is better
Aroldis Chapman
.9001.50
now 0.86
1.25
Rico Garcia
.9001.50
now 0.63
1.22

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
4039.20
now 25
0
Rico Garcia
4039.20
now 28
0
Winshigher is better
Aroldis Chapman
.0004.20
now 0
0–0
Rico Garcia
.0004.20
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAroldis Chapman — buy.conf 0.92
BuyRico Garcia — buy.conf 0.92
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