Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryBlaze
15HR ←7
47R ←32
50RBI ←30
5SB →13
.210AVG →.287
Current Season
AustinCategoryBlaze
8HR ←1
30R ←15
32RBI ←14
3SB →6
.209AVG →.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Riley
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.301)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Blaze Alexander
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.327)
Riley projects for 15 HR and .210 AVG; Alexander projects for 7 HR and .287 AVG. The power vs average tradeoff is the key split. In points formats, Riley's counting stats outpace Alexander's contact rate.