MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATL · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Nick Gonzales
Nick Gonzales
PIT · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Austin Riley wins 2 (HR, RBI); Nick Gonzales wins 2 (SB, AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Austin Riley
90.2
Nick Gonzales
85.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
42.2%
Nick Gonzales
35.9%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
10.1%
Nick Gonzales
2.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Austin Riley
32.3%
Nick Gonzales
31.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Austin Riley
15.4%
Nick Gonzales
12.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Austin Riley
.292
Nick Gonzales
.327
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Austin Riley
.200.340
lg AVG .295
now .209
.201
Nick Gonzales
.200.340
lg AVG .295
now .303
.291

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
510.80
now 8
6
Nick Gonzales
510.80
now 1
2
Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
2033.20
now 30
23
Nick Gonzales
2033.20
now 27
23
RBIhigher is better
Austin Riley
2036
now 32
25
Nick Gonzales
2036
now 26
22
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Austin Riley
.8004.20
now 3
2
Nick Gonzales
.8004.20
now 3
3
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAustin Riley — sell.conf 0.60
Hold · leans buyNick Gonzales — hold.conf 0.60
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