MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATL · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATH · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Austin Riley wins 2 (HR, RBI); Zack Gelof wins 2 (SB, AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Austin Riley
90.2
Zack Gelof
88.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
42.2%
Zack Gelof
41.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
10.1%
Zack Gelof
6.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Austin Riley
32.3%
Zack Gelof
23.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Austin Riley
15.4%
Zack Gelof
12.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Austin Riley
.292
Zack Gelof
.289
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Austin Riley
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .209
.201
Zack Gelof
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .259
.217

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
59.60
now 8
6
Zack Gelof
59.60
now 6
4
Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
2033.60
now 30
23
Zack Gelof
2033.60
now 21
23
RBIhigher is better
Austin Riley
2037.20
now 32
25
Zack Gelof
2037.20
now 19
21
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Austin Riley
.0009
now 3
2
Zack Gelof
.0009
now 6
7
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAustin Riley — sell.conf 0.60
Sell HighZack Gelof — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.80
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