MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Austin Riley
Austin Riley
ATL · 3B
Change to
Portrait of Zack Gelof
Zack Gelof
ATH · 3B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Zack Gelof.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — steals and average. Austin Riley’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Zack Gelof wins 2 categories (SB, AVG); Austin Riley wins 1 (RBI); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Austin Riley
91.5
Zack Gelof
89.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
45.2%
Zack Gelof
42.6%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Austin Riley
12.3%
Zack Gelof
9.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Austin Riley
32.6%
Zack Gelof
24.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Austin Riley
15.8%
Zack Gelof
13.5%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Austin Riley
.299
Zack Gelof
.311
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Austin Riley
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .209
.210
Zack Gelof
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .259
.216

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
510.80
now 8
1
Zack Gelof
510.80
now 6
1
Runshigher is better
Austin Riley
2040
now 30
5
Zack Gelof
2040
now 21
5
RBIhigher is better
Austin Riley
2042.80
now 32
6
Zack Gelof
2042.80
now 19
5
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Austin Riley
.0008
now 3
1
Zack Gelof
.0008
now 6
2
If you already own them — trade angle
SellAustin Riley — sell.conf 0.58
Hold · steadyZack Gelof — hold.conf 0.60
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