Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryJorge
6HR ←5
20R →24
8RBI →17
8SB ←0
.184AVG ←.170
Current Season
AustinCategoryJorge
0HR →1
5R →10
2RBI →7
2SB ←0
.217AVG ←.170
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Slater
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.210)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.316 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Jorge Barrosa
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.250 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.207 is 0.041 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Austin Slater: 6 HR / 20 R. Jorge Barrosa: 5 HR / 24 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).