Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryDavid
6HR ←5
20R →29
8RBI →20
8SB ←0
.184AVG →.190
Current Season
AustinCategoryDavid
0HR →3
5R →12
2RBI →8
2SB ←0
.217AVG →.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Slater
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.210)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.316 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
David Fry
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.358 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.284 is 0.055 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Austin Slater: 6 HR / 20 R. David Fry: 5 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).