Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryDavis
5HR →6
29R →33
20RBI20
0SB →3
.190AVG ←.157
Current Season
DavidCategoryDavis
3HR ←1
12R →13
8RBI8
0SB →1
.259AVG ←.123
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Fry
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.358 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.284 is 0.055 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Davis Schneider
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.276)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
David Fry: 5 HR / 29 R. Davis Schneider: 6 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).