Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryWill
6HR →9
33R ←26
22RBI ←13
0SB →3
.193AVG →.199
Current Season
DavidCategoryWill
3HR ←2
12R ←10
8RBI ←5
0SB →1
.259AVG ←.179
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Fry
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.360 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.280 is 0.067 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Will Benson
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.325)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
David Fry: 6 HR / 33 R. Will Benson: 9 HR / 26 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).