Rest of Season Projection
HenryCategoryWill
1HR →9
17R →26
17RBI ←13
17SB ←3
.198AVG →.199
Current Season
HenryCategoryWill
0HR →2
4R →10
4RBI →5
4SB ←1
.288AVG ←.179
What Each Player's System Trusts
Henry Bolte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.390 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.261 is 0.059 below the surface — regression coming
Will Benson
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.325)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Henry Bolte: 1 HR / 17 R. Will Benson: 9 HR / 26 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).