Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryWill
4HR →9
36R ←26
7RBI →13
7SB ←3
.219AVG ←.199
Current Season
BlakeCategoryWill
1HR →2
10R10
2RBI →5
2SB ←1
.269AVG ←.179
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.353 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.263 is 0.053 below the surface — regression coming
Will Benson
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.325)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Blake Dunn: 7 SB / .219 AVG vs Will Benson: 3 SB / .199 AVG. The stolen-base gap and average edge favor Dunn's sell-high window.