MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Blake Dunn
Blake Dunn
CIN · CF
Change to
Portrait of Brice Matthews
Brice Matthews
HOU · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Blake Dunn.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, steals, and average. Brice Matthews’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Blake Dunn wins 3 categories (R, SB, AVG); Brice Matthews wins 2 (HR, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Blake Dunn
89.2
Brice Matthews
86.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Blake Dunn
30.3%
Brice Matthews
37.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Blake Dunn
2.7%
Brice Matthews
8.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Blake Dunn
28.7%
Brice Matthews
25.3%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Blake Dunn
10.9%
Brice Matthews
16.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Blake Dunn
.278
Brice Matthews
.260
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Blake Dunn
.200.300
lg AVG .295
now .269
.236
Brice Matthews
.200.300
lg AVG .295
now .204
.183

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Blake Dunn
55.20
now 1
1
Brice Matthews
55.20
now 4
4
Runshigher is better
Blake Dunn
2025.40
now 10
21
Brice Matthews
2025.40
now 14
15
RBIhigher is better
Blake Dunn
2020.20
now 2
4
Brice Matthews
2020.20
now 14
15
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Blake Dunn
.8005.20
now 2
4
Brice Matthews
.8005.20
now 2
2
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighBlake Dunn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.66
SellBrice Matthews — sell.conf 0.66
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