Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryKyle
6HR ←4
36R ←28
7RBI →21
7SB →9
.233AVG ←.227
Current Season
BlakeCategoryKyle
1HR →3
10R →15
2RBI →11
2SB →5
.269AVG ←.243
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.345 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.274 is 0.059 below the surface — regression coming
Kyle Isbel
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.275 below league with no luck excuse
Blake Dunn: 6 HR / 36 R. Kyle Isbel: 4 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).