Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryEverson
4HR →6
33R ←24
7RBI →24
7SB ←3
.238AVG ←.209
Current Season
BlakeCategoryEverson
1HR →3
10R ←7
2RBI →7
2SB ←1
.269AVG ←.250
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.365 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.272 is 0.059 below the surface — regression coming
Everson Pereira
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.313)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.317 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Blake Dunn: 4 HR / 33 R. Everson Pereira: 6 HR / 24 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).