Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryJordan
4HR →6
33R ←19
7RBI →27
7SB ←5
.238AVG ←.226
Current Season
BlakeCategoryJordan
1HR1
10R ←7
2RBI →10
2SB2
.269AVG ←.183
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.365 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.272 is 0.059 below the surface — regression coming
Jordan Beck
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.260)
Blake Dunn: 4 HR / 33 R. Jordan Beck: 6 HR / 19 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).