Rest of Season Projection
EversonCategoryHenry
6HR ←4
24R ←15
24RBI ←15
3SB →15
.209AVG →.221
Current Season
EversonCategoryHenry
3HR ←0
7R ←4
7RBI ←4
1SB →4
.250AVG →.288
What Each Player's System Trusts
Everson Pereira
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.313)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.317 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Henry Bolte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.434 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.274 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Everson Pereira: 6 HR / 24 R. Henry Bolte: 4 HR / 15 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).