Rest of Season Projection
HenryCategoryKyle
4HR ←3
15R →25
15RBI →19
15SB ←8
.221AVG →.227
Current Season
HenryCategoryKyle
0HR →3
4R →15
4RBI →11
4SB →5
.288AVG ←.243
What Each Player's System Trusts
Henry Bolte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.434 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.274 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Kyle Isbel
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.275 below league with no luck excuse
Bolte outpaces Isbel 4 HR to 3 and 15 SB to 9. Both project sub-.230 AVG. The 6-SB edge and sell-high versus fade verdicts separate them.