Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryWenceel
6HR →8
35R ←33
7RBI →21
7SB ←6
.237AVG ←.204
Current Season
BlakeCategoryWenceel
1HR →5
10R →17
2RBI →11
2SB →3
.269AVG ←.161
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.356 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.274 is 0.060 below the surface — regression coming
Wenceel Pérez
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.269)
Blake Dunn: 6 HR / 35 R. Wenceel Pérez: 8 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).