Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryJake
4HR →7
36R ←26
7RBI →23
7SB ←3
.219AVG →.221
Current Season
BlakeCategoryJake
1HR →2
10R ←8
2RBI →7
2SB ←1
.269AVG ←.236
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.353 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.263 is 0.053 below the surface — regression coming
Jake Meyers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.284)
Dunn leads in R (36 to 26) and SB (7 to 3) but trails in HR (4 to 7) and RBI (7 to 23). The SB and R gaps support the sell-high verdict on Dunn versus the hold on Meyers.