Rest of Season Projection
BlakeCategoryDrew
4HR →5
36R ←28
7RBI →28
7SB ←0
.219AVG ←.210
Current Season
BlakeCategoryDrew
1HR →3
10R →12
2RBI →12
2SB ←0
.269AVG ←.231
What Each Player's System Trusts
Blake Dunn
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.353 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.263 is 0.053 below the surface — regression coming
Drew Gilbert
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.251)
Dunn (36 R / 7 SB) and Gilbert (28 R / 0 SB) both post sub-.220 AVG. Dunn's 36 runs and 7 steals give an edge. Sell high on Dunn; hold Gilbert.

