Rest of Season Projection
HenryCategoryThomas
1HR →5
17R →29
17RBI ←10
17SB ←0
.198AVG.198
Current Season
HenryCategoryThomas
0HR →1
4R →9
4RBI ←3
4SB ←0
.288AVG ←.167
What Each Player's System Trusts
Henry Bolte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.390 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.261 is 0.059 below the surface — regression coming
Thomas Saggese
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.274)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Henry Bolte: 1 HR / 17 R. Thomas Saggese: 5 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).