Rest of Season Projection
HenryCategoryJames
1HR →6
17R →31
17RBI ←10
17SB ←14
.198AVG ←.163
Current Season
HenryCategoryJames
0HR0
4R →9
4RBI ←3
4SB4
.288AVG ←.161
What Each Player's System Trusts
Henry Bolte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.390 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.261 is 0.059 below the surface — regression coming
James Outman
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.201)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 40% is stable and high — caps the floor
Henry Bolte: 1 HR / 17 R. James Outman: 6 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).