Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryHenry
6HR ←1
33R ←17
22RBI ←17
0SB →17
.193AVG →.198
Current Season
DavidCategoryHenry
3HR ←0
12R ←4
8RBI ←4
0SB →4
.259AVG →.288
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Fry
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.360 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.280 is 0.067 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Henry Bolte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.390 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.261 is 0.059 below the surface — regression coming
David Fry: 6 HR / 33 R. Henry Bolte: 1 HR / 17 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).