Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryThomas
6HR ←5
33R ←29
22RBI ←10
0SB0
.193AVG →.198
Current Season
DavidCategoryThomas
3HR ←1
12R ←9
8RBI ←3
0SB0
.259AVG ←.167
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Fry
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.360 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.280 is 0.067 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Thomas Saggese
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.274)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
David Fry: 6 HR / 33 R. Thomas Saggese: 5 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).